Gold in INR: 44‑yr pattern, same clock ticking

[Norman]

Been tracking gold in INR since 1980. Something odd keeps repeating.

1980 ₹133. Ran to ₹515 by 1996 – 16 years.

Fell to ₹375 by 1999 – 3 years down.

Then ran again. ₹1,150 by 2012 – 13 years.

Fell again. ₹2,228 by 2015 – 3 years down.

Current rally started 2015. 20% COVID dip, recovered. Another 20% correction expected in 2026. Still holding.

13‑year rally from 2015 may end in 2028?

Not a prediction, just a pattern I keep seeing. Could be coincidence.

What do you think?

[Ritu]

Coincidence

[Arpita]

If charts were that spot‑on for the future, wouldn't a lot more people be millionaires by now?

[Pratik]

Just a heads‑up for anyone reading – this is what actually happened, but it doesn't mean there's any hidden logic behind those numbers.

[Ayaan]

As long as the dollar stays the dominant currency, gold and US Treasury yields move in opposite directions. When you can't find a link with yields, look at inflation.

1980s – Volcker era
2012 – Fed QE
2020 onwards – higher inflation

What matters is guessing what will happen next. Charts help us understand history, not to draw firm conclusions. Reading them without any context is just plain foolishness.

[Raghav]

If you want to dive deeper into commodities, check out Jim Rogers. He's shown that commodities run on long cycles of about 10‑15 years because the supply chain – from mine exploration to funding to getting the product to market – takes ages. Economic cycles in the middle affect how viable the whole thing is.

[Kunal]

Back in 1992, a salary of ₹2,500‑₹5,000 was considered out of reach for most people.

[Lavanya]

It isn't that simple.

[Krishna]

Anything – just random.

[Kartik]

It's the circumstances and global events that shape the chart, not the other way round.

[Harendra]

Reminds me of that so‑called "correlation" between S&P returns and butter production in Bangladesh.

When you have a huge amount of data points, you'll inevitably spot spurious patterns because our brains love to see connections.

Fun fact for a party, but don't bet big money on it.