Why India not cutting fuel prices despite 15% crude fall?

Started by Nitin, Jun 26, 2026, 02:28 AM

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Nitin

Crude oil futures have dropped about 15% over the past three months, yet fuel prices in India haven't come down accordingly.

Other countries have announced cuts when global oil fell.

I know petrol and diesel prices depend on more than just crude - taxes, refining, transport, exchange rates and government policies all play a role.

But as a consumer it feels odd:

When crude goes up, fuel prices seem to rise quickly.

When crude goes down, why don't we see the same benefit?

What am I missing?

Looking for informed opinions, not political arguments.


Arif

Because everyone's looking out for themselves and there's no election coming up soon.

Monica

Because prices for the common man always seem to rise.



Shreya

Our contracts are 30-60 days ahead, so it takes that long to bring cheaper supply to our shores and reflect a lower price.

Benny

Because oil is bought on futures contracts, not at the spot market price.

And this is a trading subreddit, after all.

Shivam

They'll probably do that, and then the Union government may start adding its surcharge again, which it had reduced to avoid price hikes when crude rose.


Shashi

Because it takes months to take delivery at those prices - the oil you're using right now was priced 2-3 months ago. It's not like onions or potatoes; crude prices don't change instantly. The quoted price is just on paper, plus insurance premiums and many other factors keep it high.

Deepak

What goes up rarely comes down in India, especially when prices are controlled by the government.